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Juneteenth There is so much brilliant historical and current writing on the significance of this day that we eagerly defer to the scholarship around it for the authoritative sociopolitical and historical view. Our business is of course investing...
We have a new CPI print today which sent markets into a week-ending nosedive. 8.6% for May puts inflation for consumers near where it was in 1981 before the Volcker Fed cranked rates to an eye-watering 17+%. For as painful as rate increases are...
What’s up with gas? Inflation is everywhere, but it is hard to normalize when we are having the breakfast table conversations about how much prices have climbed. Our shopping carts are different from each other’s and aren’t always consistent from...
April ended and May began with such volatility, testing then breaking support levels, that we decided to hold the newsletter to mid-month and watch a bit longer because the story was clearly only half-told. We use, as does most of Wall Street..
Ukraine and Russia have been driving the headlines, but as we have discussed regularly across 2022, it is not the whole global economic story. The sanctions regime rapped around Russia is not that consequential for economies and markets other...
On Wednesday, February 23rd, the S&P closed below the January 27th low. This is problematic from a market psychology perspective and likely points to a further consolidation in US stock prices. Granted, that low was exacerbated by the...
A little more than a month ago, we took steps to reduce our exposure to equity risk as the capital markets digested their nearly unprecedented runup since the pandemic nadir in March of 2020. Our feeling has been that signals of transient inflation..
January is in the books, and it was a rough ride. The month-end numbers belie just how rough. There was nowhere to hide for investors as everything – equities, bonds, even digital assets were being indiscriminately dumped. But, that is also only...